Recent GFS model consensus and Hydrometeorological Center guidance for Moscow project overnight lows near 9°C on September 14, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 8.2°C and supporting elevated probabilities for minimum temperatures in the 7–10°C range. Westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any shift in steering patterns or warmer air advection could push the low above 15°C. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of typical seasonal values against short-term forecast uncertainty, with upcoming model runs and official updates likely to refine resolution criteria around observed minimums.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
15°C or higher 91%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
5°C or below
26%
6°C
40%
7°C
24%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
91%
15°C or higher 91%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
5°C or below
26%
6°C
40%
7°C
24%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS model consensus and Hydrometeorological Center guidance for Moscow project overnight lows near 9°C on September 14, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 8.2°C and supporting elevated probabilities for minimum temperatures in the 7–10°C range. Westerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any shift in steering patterns or warmer air advection could push the low above 15°C. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of typical seasonal values against short-term forecast uncertainty, with upcoming model runs and official updates likely to refine resolution criteria around observed minimums.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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