Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 31 will likely fall in the 14–17°C range, with trader emphasis on 16–17°C reflecting model consensus on overnight lows amid southwest flow and variable cloud cover. A passing frontal system has maintained mild maritime air and limited radiative cooling, while light winds (10–20 km/h) and partial clearing overnight could allow brief drops toward 14–15°C in clearer pockets. Historical August 31 averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain several degrees above normal due to persistent warmer-than-average patterns. Key uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
17°C 49%
16°C 41%
14°C 16%
15°C 16%
12°C or below
11%
13°C
15%
14°C
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
41%
17°C
49%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
15%
17°C 49%
16°C 41%
14°C 16%
15°C 16%
12°C or below
11%
13°C
15%
14°C
16%
15°C
16%
16°C
41%
17°C
49%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 31 will likely fall in the 14–17°C range, with trader emphasis on 16–17°C reflecting model consensus on overnight lows amid southwest flow and variable cloud cover. A passing frontal system has maintained mild maritime air and limited radiative cooling, while light winds (10–20 km/h) and partial clearing overnight could allow brief drops toward 14–15°C in clearer pockets. Historical August 31 averages near 13.4°C provide context, yet 2026 conditions remain several degrees above normal due to persistent warmer-than-average patterns. Key uncertainties center on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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