Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will experience persistent high humidity, dew points near 26–27°C, southeast winds, and scattered showers or cloud cover on August 23, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows elevated. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (50.5%) and 28°C (39.0%), reflecting trader consensus on typical late-August urban conditions in the region where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 26°C under similar synoptic patterns. Historical August lows average around 24–25°C, but the current warm, moist air mass and lack of clear skies support the implied probabilities for 27–28°C as the most likely outcomes, with only modest downside risk if stronger cooling develops.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
27°C 51%
28°C 40%
26°C 7%
25°C 4%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
51%
28°C
40%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 40%
26°C 7%
25°C 4%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
51%
28°C
40%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will experience persistent high humidity, dew points near 26–27°C, southeast winds, and scattered showers or cloud cover on August 23, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows elevated. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (50.5%) and 28°C (39.0%), reflecting trader consensus on typical late-August urban conditions in the region where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 26°C under similar synoptic patterns. Historical August lows average around 24–25°C, but the current warm, moist air mass and lack of clear skies support the implied probabilities for 27–28°C as the most likely outcomes, with only modest downside risk if stronger cooling develops.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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