Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 21 amid typical late-summer humidity and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent seasonal warmth, with daytime highs near 31–33°C, keeps minimum temperatures elevated above historical August averages around 23°C, while any scattered showers could further moderate overnight drops. These conditions explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable subtropical air masses and limited cooling potential ahead of the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
26°C 45%
25°C 40%
27°C 13%
24°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
40%
26°C
45%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 45%
25°C 40%
27°C 13%
24°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$39 Vol.
40%
26°C
$36 Vol.
45%
27°C
$25 Vol.
13%
28°C
$54 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 21 amid typical late-summer humidity and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent seasonal warmth, with daytime highs near 31–33°C, keeps minimum temperatures elevated above historical August averages around 23°C, while any scattered showers could further moderate overnight drops. These conditions explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable subtropical air masses and limited cooling potential ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$178Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 21 amid typical late-summer humidity and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent seasonal warmth, with daytime highs near 31–33°C, keeps minimum temperatures elevated above historical August averages around 23°C, while any scattered showers could further moderate overnight drops. These conditions explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable subtropical air masses and limited cooling potential ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$178Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 21 amid typical late-summer humidity and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Persistent seasonal warmth, with daytime highs near 31–33°C, keeps minimum temperatures elevated above historical August averages around 23°C, while any scattered showers could further moderate overnight drops. These conditions explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of stable subtropical air masses and limited cooling potential ahead of the resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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