Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver pushing the lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24 toward the 13–14 °C range. These conditions favor stronger overnight heat loss compared with typical late-May climatology, where minimums average near 15 °C. Uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and any weak frontal passage creates the tight clustering around 13–15 °C outcomes, with slightly warmer solutions possible if moisture increases. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will narrow the spread as the event approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24?
13°C 20%
14°C 19%
15°C 19%
16°C 18%
BAGO
BAGO
May 24, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
20%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
12%
20°C
9%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
1%
13°C 20%
14°C 19%
15°C 19%
16°C 18%
BAGO
BAGO
May 24, 2026
12°C or below
$57 Vol.
4%
13°C
$6 Vol.
20%
14°C
$11 Vol.
19%
15°C
$11 Vol.
19%
16°C
$15 Vol.
19%
17°C
$10 Vol.
8%
18°C
$10 Vol.
10%
19°C
$11 Vol.
12%
20°C
$10 Vol.
9%
21°C
$35 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$658 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver pushing the lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24 toward the 13–14 °C range. These conditions favor stronger overnight heat loss compared with typical late-May climatology, where minimums average near 15 °C. Uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and any weak frontal passage creates the tight clustering around 13–15 °C outcomes, with slightly warmer solutions possible if moisture increases. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will narrow the spread as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$829Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver pushing the lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24 toward the 13–14 °C range. These conditions favor stronger overnight heat loss compared with typical late-May climatology, where minimums average near 15 °C. Uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and any weak frontal passage creates the tight clustering around 13–15 °C outcomes, with slightly warmer solutions possible if moisture increases. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will narrow the spread as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$829Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 24, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds as the main driver pushing the lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 24 toward the 13–14 °C range. These conditions favor stronger overnight heat loss compared with typical late-May climatology, where minimums average near 15 °C. Uncertainty in low-level cloud cover and any weak frontal passage creates the tight clustering around 13–15 °C outcomes, with slightly warmer solutions possible if moisture increases. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will narrow the spread as the event approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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