Recent forecasts from models like GFS and observations from Warsaw stations show the overnight low hovering near 14–16°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds under 10 km/h, and scattered showers that limited radiative cooling earlier. These conditions, combined with dew points around 13–15°C and surface pressure near 1012–1015 hPa, support modest overnight temperature drops without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 13–16°C because ensemble spreads and timing of clearing introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum, with 14°C representing a central outcome but vulnerable to small shifts in cloud timing or wind. Historical August minima near 15°C provide baseline context for the current setup.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
15°C 45%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
12°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
45%
16°C
52%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
12°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
45%
16°C
52%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS and observations from Warsaw stations show the overnight low hovering near 14–16°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds under 10 km/h, and scattered showers that limited radiative cooling earlier. These conditions, combined with dew points around 13–15°C and surface pressure near 1012–1015 hPa, support modest overnight temperature drops without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 13–16°C because ensemble spreads and timing of clearing introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise minimum, with 14°C representing a central outcome but vulnerable to small shifts in cloud timing or wind. Historical August minima near 15°C provide baseline context for the current setup.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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