Michigan’s 7th Congressional District remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin. The August 4 Democratic primary delivered nominee William Lawrence, a progressive organizer, after he defeated former ambassador Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 62% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s mixed partisan makeup, midterm-year turnout patterns that have historically benefited the opposition party, and the seat’s toss-up rating from forecasters. Key variables include Lawrence’s general-election appeal in suburban and college-heavy counties versus Barrett’s incumbency and fundraising edge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,069 Vol.
$17,069 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
36%
$17,069 Vol.
$17,069 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,718 Vol.
62%
Republican Party
$5,352 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan’s 7th Congressional District remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin. The August 4 Democratic primary delivered nominee William Lawrence, a progressive organizer, after he defeated former ambassador Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 62% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s mixed partisan makeup, midterm-year turnout patterns that have historically benefited the opposition party, and the seat’s toss-up rating from forecasters. Key variables include Lawrence’s general-election appeal in suburban and college-heavy counties versus Barrett’s incumbency and fundraising edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$17,069Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan’s 7th Congressional District remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin. The August 4 Democratic primary delivered nominee William Lawrence, a progressive organizer, after he defeated former ambassador Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 62% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s mixed partisan makeup, midterm-year turnout patterns that have historically benefited the opposition party, and the seat’s toss-up rating from forecasters. Key variables include Lawrence’s general-election appeal in suburban and college-heavy counties versus Barrett’s incumbency and fundraising edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,069Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan’s 7th Congressional District remains a competitive swing seat centered on the Lansing area, where Republican incumbent Tom Barrett flipped the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin. The August 4 Democratic primary delivered nominee William Lawrence, a progressive organizer, after he defeated former ambassador Bridget Brink and Matt Maasdam. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 62% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s mixed partisan makeup, midterm-year turnout patterns that have historically benefited the opposition party, and the seat’s toss-up rating from forecasters. Key variables include Lawrence’s general-election appeal in suburban and college-heavy counties versus Barrett’s incumbency and fundraising edge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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