Arizona's 6th congressional district features incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani seeking a third term against Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza following unopposed primary victories on July 21. The seat, encompassing northern Tucson suburbs and southeastern Arizona, delivered Ciscomani a narrow 50% win in 2024. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly two points in a race rated as a toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. National midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns in suburban areas, and the district's electoral math have shaped trader assessments of the general election outcome on November 3. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling releases or campaign spending shifts could still influence the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
18%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,889 Vol.
83%
Republican Party
$5,982 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district features incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani seeking a third term against Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza following unopposed primary victories on July 21. The seat, encompassing northern Tucson suburbs and southeastern Arizona, delivered Ciscomani a narrow 50% win in 2024. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly two points in a race rated as a toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. National midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns in suburban areas, and the district's electoral math have shaped trader assessments of the general election outcome on November 3. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling releases or campaign spending shifts could still influence the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$9,871Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district features incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani seeking a third term against Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza following unopposed primary victories on July 21. The seat, encompassing northern Tucson suburbs and southeastern Arizona, delivered Ciscomani a narrow 50% win in 2024. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly two points in a race rated as a toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. National midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns in suburban areas, and the district's electoral math have shaped trader assessments of the general election outcome on November 3. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling releases or campaign spending shifts could still influence the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,871Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 6th congressional district features incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani seeking a third term against Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza following unopposed primary victories on July 21. The seat, encompassing northern Tucson suburbs and southeastern Arizona, delivered Ciscomani a narrow 50% win in 2024. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly two points in a race rated as a toss-up or lean Democratic by forecasters. National midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns in suburban areas, and the district's electoral math have shaped trader assessments of the general election outcome on November 3. Late-cycle developments such as additional polling releases or campaign spending shifts could still influence the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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