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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 56%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
BAGO

Mike Bouchard 56%

Steven Elliott 10.1%

Casey Armitage 7%

Justin Kirk 4.7%

Polymarket
BAGO

Mike Bouchard

$2,122 Vol.

62%

Steven Elliott

$1,799 Vol.

20%

Casey Armitage

$2,338 Vol.

7%

Justin Kirk

$847 Vol.

5%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,116 Vol.

33%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Michael Bouchard as the Republican nominee for Michigan's 10th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant internal poll lead (37% to Robert Lulgjuraj's 8% in late January 2026 among likely GOP primary voters) and strong Q1 fundraising ($977,000 raised, $847,000 cash on hand through March 31). The open seat follows Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid, heightening competition. Lulgjuraj trails at 28.3% despite top total fundraising ($1.2 million) and local endorsements from state representatives and Macomb County officials, while Steven Elliott's 19.2% reflects backing from Ambassador Richard Grenell. April filings underscored financial parity between frontrunners, with petition challenges resolved by late April; no public polls have emerged since March.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,222
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Michael Bouchard as the Republican nominee for Michigan's 10th Congressional District primary on August 4, 2026, with 58.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant internal poll lead (37% to Robert Lulgjuraj's 8% in late January 2026 among likely GOP primary voters) and strong Q1 fundraising ($977,000 raised, $847,000 cash on hand through March 31). The open seat follows Rep. John James's gubernatorial bid, heightening competition. Lulgjuraj trails at 28.3% despite top total fundraising ($1.2 million) and local endorsements from state representatives and Macomb County officials, while Steven Elliott's 19.2% reflects backing from Ambassador Richard Grenell. April filings underscored financial parity between frontrunners, with petition challenges resolved by late April; no public polls have emerged since March.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$9,222
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mike Bouchard" sa 62%, sinusundan ng "Robert Lulgjuraj" sa 33%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 62¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Dec 18, 2025. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Mike Bouchard" sa 62%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Robert Lulgjuraj" sa 33%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.