Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the August 4 primaries, where Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination and Josh Smead advanced for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. The open race, triggered by incumbent Sam Graves’ retirement, has drawn consistent “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting the district’s rural northern Missouri base, northern Kansas City suburbs, and historical margins exceeding 30 points for Republican candidates. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability because the seat’s partisan lean and primary consolidation have limited Democratic pathways. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, national economic reversal, or unusually depressed Republican turnout to narrow the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$40,982 Vol.
$40,982 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$40,982 Vol.
$40,982 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$26,328 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$14,654 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the August 4 primaries, where Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination and Josh Smead advanced for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. The open race, triggered by incumbent Sam Graves’ retirement, has drawn consistent “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting the district’s rural northern Missouri base, northern Kansas City suburbs, and historical margins exceeding 30 points for Republican candidates. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability because the seat’s partisan lean and primary consolidation have limited Democratic pathways. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, national economic reversal, or unusually depressed Republican turnout to narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$40,982Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the August 4 primaries, where Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination and Josh Smead advanced for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. The open race, triggered by incumbent Sam Graves’ retirement, has drawn consistent “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting the district’s rural northern Missouri base, northern Kansas City suburbs, and historical margins exceeding 30 points for Republican candidates. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability because the seat’s partisan lean and primary consolidation have limited Democratic pathways. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, national economic reversal, or unusually depressed Republican turnout to narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,982Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the August 4 primaries, where Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination and Josh Smead advanced for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election. The open race, triggered by incumbent Sam Graves’ retirement, has drawn consistent “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting the district’s rural northern Missouri base, northern Kansas City suburbs, and historical margins exceeding 30 points for Republican candidates. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability because the seat’s partisan lean and primary consolidation have limited Democratic pathways. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, national economic reversal, or unusually depressed Republican turnout to narrow the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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