**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 94.7% because the Pikachu ex Special Illustration Rare from the Ascended Heroes set (ME) is currently trading at approximately $1,049 raw, already below the $1,059.87 threshold, with limited momentum expected in the final two weeks of September 2026.** Recent market data shows the card stabilizing in the low-to-mid $1,000 range after earlier volatility, supported by steady but not explosive collector demand for this high-end chase card. Broader Pokémon TCG secondary-market dynamics, including the release of new Japanese sets featuring lower-priced Pikachu ex SARs, have kept hype contained without pushing this specific English printing sharply higher. With resolution just days away on September 30 and no major upcoming catalysts—such as major tournament results, grading surges, or official announcements—traders see little room for a sustained move above the line. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow but include a sudden short-term collector rush or positive grading news that could briefly lift raw prices; however, the short timeframe and current trajectory make these low-probability events in the eyes of the market.