Traders have priced the 200-219 and 220-239 brackets nearly even because Elon Musk’s baseline X activity has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s over recent weeks, averaging roughly 25-30 posts daily when combining originals, quotes, and reposts. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout provided a clear mid-period catalyst, sparking clusters of AI-related replies and commentary that lifted volume without driving outlier totals. Precedent from the prior week’s 186-tweet count reinforces expectations of steady but not explosive output absent major breaking developments. With the window closing September 25, any late-week Starship test updates or high-engagement Tesla commentary could nudge totals into the upper 200s, while quieter days would favor the 180-199 range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of plausible outcomes rather than a single dominant narrative.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
200-219 24%
220-239 24%
180-199 16%
240-259 15.4%
$746,241 Vol.
$746,241 Vol.
Sep 25, 2026
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
4%
180-199
16%
200-219
24%
220-239
24%
240-259
15%
260-279
8%
280-299
5%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 24%
220-239 24%
180-199 16%
240-259 15.4%
$746,241 Vol.
$746,241 Vol.
Sep 25, 2026
100-119
$52,463 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$67,116 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$68,815 Vol.
1%
160-179
$46,621 Vol.
4%
180-199
$40,233 Vol.
16%
200-219
$34,776 Vol.
24%
220-239
$22,956 Vol.
24%
240-259
$20,706 Vol.
15%
260-279
$31,758 Vol.
8%
280-299
$27,888 Vol.
5%
300-319
$29,334 Vol.
2%
320-339
$25,773 Vol.
1%
340-359
$29,072 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$34,310 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$34,073 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$26,600 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$18,698 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$7,566 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$17,809 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$13,597 Vol.
<1%
500+
$41,470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have priced the 200-219 and 220-239 brackets nearly even because Elon Musk’s baseline X activity has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s over recent weeks, averaging roughly 25-30 posts daily when combining originals, quotes, and reposts. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout provided a clear mid-period catalyst, sparking clusters of AI-related replies and commentary that lifted volume without driving outlier totals. Precedent from the prior week’s 186-tweet count reinforces expectations of steady but not explosive output absent major breaking developments. With the window closing September 25, any late-week Starship test updates or high-engagement Tesla commentary could nudge totals into the upper 200s, while quieter days would favor the 180-199 range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of plausible outcomes rather than a single dominant narrative.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$746,241Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have priced the 200-219 and 220-239 brackets nearly even because Elon Musk’s baseline X activity has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s over recent weeks, averaging roughly 25-30 posts daily when combining originals, quotes, and reposts. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout provided a clear mid-period catalyst, sparking clusters of AI-related replies and commentary that lifted volume without driving outlier totals. Precedent from the prior week’s 186-tweet count reinforces expectations of steady but not explosive output absent major breaking developments. With the window closing September 25, any late-week Starship test updates or high-engagement Tesla commentary could nudge totals into the upper 200s, while quieter days would favor the 180-199 range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of plausible outcomes rather than a single dominant narrative.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$746,241Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 25, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced the 200-219 and 220-239 brackets nearly even because Elon Musk’s baseline X activity has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s over recent weeks, averaging roughly 25-30 posts daily when combining originals, quotes, and reposts. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout provided a clear mid-period catalyst, sparking clusters of AI-related replies and commentary that lifted volume without driving outlier totals. Precedent from the prior week’s 186-tweet count reinforces expectations of steady but not explosive output absent major breaking developments. With the window closing September 25, any late-week Starship test updates or high-engagement Tesla commentary could nudge totals into the upper 200s, while quieter days would favor the 180-199 range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of plausible outcomes rather than a single dominant narrative.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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