Ongoing U.S.-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, center on Iran's demands for sanctions relief including oil export easing and asset unfreezing, alongside limits on uranium enrichment and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump's recent statements emphasize U.S. demands for full dismantlement of enrichment capabilities, removal of enriched uranium stockpiles, and no nuclear weapons program, with any asset releases tied to a final deal. These dynamics influence global energy markets, as Hormuz transit and Iranian oil flows affect crude benchmarks and volatility. The June 30 resolution window leaves limited time for breakthroughs before key FOMC and economic data releases that could shift risk sentiment. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether core Iranian requests will secure U.S. concessions amid stalled progress on verifiable limits.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
$1,003,985 Vol.

Enrichment of Uranium
4%

Oil Sanction Relief
26%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
4%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets
25%

Troop Withdrawal
11%
$1,003,985 Vol.

Enrichment of Uranium
4%

Oil Sanction Relief
26%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
4%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets
25%

Troop Withdrawal
11%
Sanctions restricting Iranian oil exports refers to U.S. restrictions that prohibit or limit the production, sale, transport, purchase, or export of crude oil, petroleum, or petrochemical products from Iran, including associated shipping, insurance, and financial transactions necessary for such exports. This includes both primary sanctions, which apply to U.S. persons, and secondary sanctions, which apply to non-U.S. persons or entities engaging in such activities.
The United States will be considered to have agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or reduce such sanctions if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil
- The removal, suspension, waiver, or reduction of any such sanctions is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.
Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.
Binuksan ang Market: May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sanctions restricting Iranian oil exports refers to U.S. restrictions that prohibit or limit the production, sale, transport, purchase, or export of crude oil, petroleum, or petrochemical products from Iran, including associated shipping, insurance, and financial transactions necessary for such exports. This includes both primary sanctions, which apply to U.S. persons, and secondary sanctions, which apply to non-U.S. persons or entities engaging in such activities.
The United States will be considered to have agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or reduce such sanctions if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States has definitively agreed to remove, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil
- The removal, suspension, waiver, or reduction of any such sanctions is included as part of a treaty or deal formally established between the United States and Iran, including through signing or other formal means.
Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization, or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will qualify, regardless of when or whether the specified action is implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks, mediated through Oman and Pakistan, center on Iran's demands for sanctions relief including oil export easing and asset unfreezing, alongside limits on uranium enrichment and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump's recent statements emphasize U.S. demands for full dismantlement of enrichment capabilities, removal of enriched uranium stockpiles, and no nuclear weapons program, with any asset releases tied to a final deal. These dynamics influence global energy markets, as Hormuz transit and Iranian oil flows affect crude benchmarks and volatility. The June 30 resolution window leaves limited time for breakthroughs before key FOMC and economic data releases that could shift risk sentiment. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether core Iranian requests will secure U.S. concessions amid stalled progress on verifiable limits.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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