The tightly bunched probabilities among leading UFC heavyweight contenders reflect a division lacking clear separation after Tom Aspinall's eye injury sidelined the undisputed champion following his 2025 no-contest with Ciryl Gane. Serghei Spivac's recent decision win over Ante Delija has positioned him at the front of trader consensus, yet Delija, Jailton Almeida, and Derrick Lewis remain within striking distance due to their established records, stylistic versatility, and momentum from prior performances. With Aspinall's return timeline uncertain and an interim title bout looming between Gane and Alex Pereira, the shallow talent pool amplifies upset potential across the field, keeping implied probabilities clustered as no single fighter has separated decisively in recent form or head-to-head history.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAnte Delija 41.7%
Sergei Pavlovich 37.1%
Derrick Lewis 37.0%
Jailton Almeida 35.1%
$97,776 Vol.
$97,776 Vol.
Ante Delija
42%
Sergei Pavlovich
37%
Derrick Lewis
37%
Jailton Almeida
35%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Alexander Volkov
10%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Tom Aspinall
35%
Serghei Spivac
44%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
31%
Ante Delija 41.7%
Sergei Pavlovich 37.1%
Derrick Lewis 37.0%
Jailton Almeida 35.1%
$97,776 Vol.
$97,776 Vol.
Ante Delija
42%
Sergei Pavlovich
37%
Derrick Lewis
37%
Jailton Almeida
35%
Ciryl Gane
26%
Alexander Volkov
10%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Tom Aspinall
35%
Serghei Spivac
44%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
31%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities among leading UFC heavyweight contenders reflect a division lacking clear separation after Tom Aspinall's eye injury sidelined the undisputed champion following his 2025 no-contest with Ciryl Gane. Serghei Spivac's recent decision win over Ante Delija has positioned him at the front of trader consensus, yet Delija, Jailton Almeida, and Derrick Lewis remain within striking distance due to their established records, stylistic versatility, and momentum from prior performances. With Aspinall's return timeline uncertain and an interim title bout looming between Gane and Alex Pereira, the shallow talent pool amplifies upset potential across the field, keeping implied probabilities clustered as no single fighter has separated decisively in recent form or head-to-head history.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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