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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$218,636 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$218,636 Vol.

Polymarket

Matt Gaetz

$37 Vol.

50%

Bob Menendez

$108 Vol.

45%

Daniel Penny

$11 Vol.

45%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

42%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,371 Vol.

35%

Steve Bannon

$6,771 Vol.

21%

Ryan Salame

$15,206 Vol.

14%

Julian Assange

$1,550 Vol.

13%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$13,573 Vol.

13%

Elizabeth Holmes

$1,130 Vol.

10%

Nicolas Maduro

$6,685 Vol.

10%

Himself

$3,978 Vol.

8%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$36,621 Vol.

8%

Eric Adams

$106 Vol.

8%

Do Kwon

$16,325 Vol.

8%

Diddy

$7,527 Vol.

7%

Edward Snowden

$1,755 Vol.

7%

Joe Exotic

$330 Vol.

7%

Martin Shkreli

$22,458 Vol.

7%

Derek Chauvin

$18,473 Vol.

6%

Young Thug

$4,269 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

7%

Elon Musk

$49,873 Vol.

4%

Hunter Biden

$2,046 Vol.

3%

Roger Ver

$418 Vol.

38%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

35%

Stefan Brodie

$16 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already exercised his pardon authority extensively in his second term, issuing mass clemency to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office and later extending it to dozens of allies tied to 2020 alternate-elector efforts, including Rudy Giuliani, John Eastman, Sidney Powell, and Mark Meadows. In 2026, the administration has accelerated white-collar and public-corruption grants, including the first corporate pardons in U.S. history, while facing Democratic-led congressional probes into possible donor influence. Trader focus centers on whether remaining high-profile loyalists or business figures will receive relief before the 2029 term ends, with procedural timing and any late-term announcements likely to shape probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$218,636
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has already exercised his pardon authority extensively in his second term, issuing mass clemency to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office and later extending it to dozens of allies tied to 2020 alternate-elector efforts, including Rudy Giuliani, John Eastman, Sidney Powell, and Mark Meadows. In 2026, the administration has accelerated white-collar and public-corruption grants, including the first corporate pardons in U.S. history, while facing Democratic-led congressional probes into possible donor influence. Trader focus centers on whether remaining high-profile loyalists or business figures will receive relief before the 2029 term ends, with procedural timing and any late-term announcements likely to shape probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$218,636
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 27 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Matt Gaetz" sa 50%, sinusundan ng "Stefan Brodie" sa 50%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 50¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 50% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $218.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 18, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?," i-browse ang 27 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay "Matt Gaetz" sa 50%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 50% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Stefan Brodie" sa 50%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.