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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$438,418 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$438,418 Vol.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,918 Vol.

26%

Stefan Brodie

$2,642 Vol.

24%

Roger Stone

$4,205 Vol.

23%

Donald Brodie

$1,873 Vol.

22%

Matt Gaetz

$3,877 Vol.

21%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,506 Vol.

20%

Young Thug

$4,440 Vol.

12%

Steve Bannon

$8,024 Vol.

11%

Daniel Penny

$508 Vol.

11%

Joe Exotic

$5,369 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,101 Vol.

9%

Roger Ver

$1,593 Vol.

8%

Andrew Tate

$236 Vol.

7%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

7%

Julian Assange

$3,557 Vol.

6%

Derek Chauvin

$24,970 Vol.

6%

Nicolas Maduro

$9,491 Vol.

6%

Martin Shkreli

$29,723 Vol.

6%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,571 Vol.

5%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,824 Vol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,163 Vol.

4%

Diddy

$29,179 Vol.

4%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$132,209 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$2,480 Vol.

3%

Do Kwon

$23,620 Vol.

3%

Himself

$13,643 Vol.

3%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

2%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since returning to office in January 2025, issuing blanket pardons and commutations to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day, along with preemptive relief for 2020 election allies such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows. Subsequent grants have favored political supporters, donors, and white-collar defendants including crypto executive Changpeng Zhao and investor Trevor Milton, often through informal channels involving Trump associates rather than standard Justice Department review. Discussions of a large “250 pardons for 250 years” package tied to the 2026 semiquincentennial have prompted additional applications from figures like Sam Bankman-Fried. With the resolution window extending into 2027, trader focus centers on the pace of further grants to connected individuals before midterm pressures or term-end shifts intervene.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$438,418
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since returning to office in January 2025, issuing blanket pardons and commutations to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day, along with preemptive relief for 2020 election allies such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows. Subsequent grants have favored political supporters, donors, and white-collar defendants including crypto executive Changpeng Zhao and investor Trevor Milton, often through informal channels involving Trump associates rather than standard Justice Department review. Discussions of a large “250 pardons for 250 years” package tied to the 2026 semiquincentennial have prompted additional applications from figures like Sam Bankman-Fried. With the resolution window extending into 2027, trader focus centers on the pace of further grants to connected individuals before midterm pressures or term-end shifts intervene.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$438,418
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 28 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ryan Salame" sa 26%, sinusundan ng "Stefan Brodie" sa 24%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 26¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 26% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $438.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 18, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?," i-browse ang 28 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay "Ryan Salame" sa 26%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 26% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Stefan Brodie" sa 24%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.