Anthropic’s confidential SEC S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, paired with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting indicates Anthropic is advancing investor meetings and targeting an October listing, while OpenAI’s own June filing has been followed by signals it may defer until 2027 to secure a higher valuation. These timelines reflect Anthropic’s faster operational momentum in the competitive large language model sector, where regulatory readiness, capital access, and revenue scaling directly influence IPO sequencing. Traders are monitoring any further SEC reviews or executive statements as near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
88% tsansa
$290,090 Vol.
$290,090 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
88% tsansa
$290,090 Vol.
$290,090 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, paired with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting indicates Anthropic is advancing investor meetings and targeting an October listing, while OpenAI’s own June filing has been followed by signals it may defer until 2027 to secure a higher valuation. These timelines reflect Anthropic’s faster operational momentum in the competitive large language model sector, where regulatory readiness, capital access, and revenue scaling directly influence IPO sequencing. Traders are monitoring any further SEC reviews or executive statements as near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$290,090Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential SEC S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, paired with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting indicates Anthropic is advancing investor meetings and targeting an October listing, while OpenAI’s own June filing has been followed by signals it may defer until 2027 to secure a higher valuation. These timelines reflect Anthropic’s faster operational momentum in the competitive large language model sector, where regulatory readiness, capital access, and revenue scaling directly influence IPO sequencing. Traders are monitoring any further SEC reviews or executive statements as near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$290,090Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential SEC S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, paired with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting indicates Anthropic is advancing investor meetings and targeting an October listing, while OpenAI’s own June filing has been followed by signals it may defer until 2027 to secure a higher valuation. These timelines reflect Anthropic’s faster operational momentum in the competitive large language model sector, where regulatory readiness, capital access, and revenue scaling directly influence IPO sequencing. Traders are monitoring any further SEC reviews or executive statements as near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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