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Politika·Congress

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?
Politika·Congress

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

BAGO
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$4,401 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$825 Vol.

6%

December 31

$1,292 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold unified control of the House, Senate, and White House in the 119th Congress, enabling repeated use of budget reconciliation to advance fiscal and policy priorities on party-line votes. Two reconciliation packages have already become law in 2025-2026, including the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and a June 2026 measure funding ICE and CBP at roughly $70 billion. Lawmakers are actively discussing a potential third bill focused on defense spending increases, safety-net adjustments, or deficit reduction, though internal GOP divisions over offsets and priorities have left prospects uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include the November 2026 midterm elections, remaining fiscal deadlines, and any lame-duck session activity that could determine whether the House advances another measure before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,401
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold unified control of the House, Senate, and White House in the 119th Congress, enabling repeated use of budget reconciliation to advance fiscal and policy priorities on party-line votes. Two reconciliation packages have already become law in 2025-2026, including the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and a June 2026 measure funding ICE and CBP at roughly $70 billion. Lawmakers are actively discussing a potential third bill focused on defense spending increases, safety-net adjustments, or deficit reduction, though internal GOP divisions over offsets and priorities have left prospects uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include the November 2026 midterm elections, remaining fiscal deadlines, and any lame-duck session activity that could determine whether the House advances another measure before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$4,401
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Ang "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31" sa 24%, sinusundan ng "September 30" sa 6%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 24¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 26, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" ay "December 31" sa 24%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "September 30" sa 6%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.