Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in Wyoming's open Senate race at 94%, driven by the state's entrenched GOP dominance—reflected in a partisan voter index over R+25 and no Democratic Senate win since 1977—bolstered by frontrunner Rep. Harriet Hageman's commanding primary position with endorsements from Donald Trump, Sen. John Barrasso, and retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis. Recent GOP primary challengers emerged in late April, but Hageman's momentum persists amid the party's vote to allow pre-primary endorsements on May 5, underscoring unified Republican support ahead of the May 29 filing deadline and August 18 primary. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented scandal toppling the GOP nominee, extraordinarily high turnout among the state's sparse Democratic base, or a national wave election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Republican
94%

Democrat
7%

Republican
94%

Democrat
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory in Wyoming's open Senate race at 94%, driven by the state's entrenched GOP dominance—reflected in a partisan voter index over R+25 and no Democratic Senate win since 1977—bolstered by frontrunner Rep. Harriet Hageman's commanding primary position with endorsements from Donald Trump, Sen. John Barrasso, and retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis. Recent GOP primary challengers emerged in late April, but Hageman's momentum persists amid the party's vote to allow pre-primary endorsements on May 5, underscoring unified Republican support ahead of the May 29 filing deadline and August 18 primary. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented scandal toppling the GOP nominee, extraordinarily high turnout among the state's sparse Democratic base, or a national wave election.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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