Skip to main content
icon for How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
Politika·Midterms

How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?

icon for How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?
Politika·Midterms

How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?

1 40%

2 40%

3 40%

4 40%

Polymarket
BAGO

1 40%

2 40%

3 40%

4 40%

Polymarket
BAGO

0

$0 Vol.

12%

1

$0 Vol.

40%

2

$0 Vol.

40%

3

$0 Vol.

40%

4

$0 Vol.

40%

Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination. This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary. If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination.

This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant.

The candidates and races are:

Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary.

If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 27, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination. This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary. If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination. This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary. If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination.

This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant.

The candidates and races are:

Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary.

If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 27, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination. This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary. If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

98%
icon for Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?

Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?

97%
icon for Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?

80%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "1" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "2" sa 40%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 27, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?" ay "1" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "2" sa 40%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "How many of these Sanders endorsees will win their August 4 Primaries (Michigan and Missouri)?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.