Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a durable Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 70% general-election share in 2024. Scott DesJarlais secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with two-thirds of the vote despite multiple challengers, preserving name recognition and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no competitive polling suggesting a viable path to victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment within the remaining campaign window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$38,365 Vol.
$38,365 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$38,365 Vol.
$38,365 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,734 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,631 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a durable Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 70% general-election share in 2024. Scott DesJarlais secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with two-thirds of the vote despite multiple challengers, preserving name recognition and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no competitive polling suggesting a viable path to victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,365Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a durable Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 70% general-election share in 2024. Scott DesJarlais secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with two-thirds of the vote despite multiple challengers, preserving name recognition and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no competitive polling suggesting a viable path to victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment within the remaining campaign window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,365Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a durable Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 70% general-election share in 2024. Scott DesJarlais secured the GOP nomination in the August 6 primary with two-thirds of the vote despite multiple challengers, preserving name recognition and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general. Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no competitive polling suggesting a viable path to victory. Trader consensus at 92.5% Republican aligns with these fundamentals and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would require an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national environment within the remaining campaign window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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