Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under MMP shows Labour and National locked in a tight contest for the largest party vote share, with both major parties hovering near 29–34 percent while smaller parties including the Greens, NZ First, ACT and Opportunity fragment the remainder. This closeness underpins trader consensus on second place, as either major party is positioned to finish ahead or behind depending on final turnout and minor-party thresholds. National’s slight edge in implied probability for second reflects its incumbency advantages, coalition record, and resilience in several mid-August surveys despite Labour leads in others. Late-campaign events such as leadership confidence votes, economic data and Opportunity Party momentum could still shift the ordering before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 53%
Labour Party 41%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$18,318 Vol.
$18,318 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
53%
Labour Party
41%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Green Party
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 41%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$18,318 Vol.
$18,318 Vol.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
$8,922 Vol.
53%
Labour Party
$5,028 Vol.
41%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,322 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
Green Party
$542 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under MMP shows Labour and National locked in a tight contest for the largest party vote share, with both major parties hovering near 29–34 percent while smaller parties including the Greens, NZ First, ACT and Opportunity fragment the remainder. This closeness underpins trader consensus on second place, as either major party is positioned to finish ahead or behind depending on final turnout and minor-party thresholds. National’s slight edge in implied probability for second reflects its incumbency advantages, coalition record, and resilience in several mid-August surveys despite Labour leads in others. Late-campaign events such as leadership confidence votes, economic data and Opportunity Party momentum could still shift the ordering before election day.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$18,318Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under MMP shows Labour and National locked in a tight contest for the largest party vote share, with both major parties hovering near 29–34 percent while smaller parties including the Greens, NZ First, ACT and Opportunity fragment the remainder. This closeness underpins trader consensus on second place, as either major party is positioned to finish ahead or behind depending on final turnout and minor-party thresholds. National’s slight edge in implied probability for second reflects its incumbency advantages, coalition record, and resilience in several mid-August surveys despite Labour leads in others. Late-campaign events such as leadership confidence votes, economic data and Opportunity Party momentum could still shift the ordering before election day.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$18,318Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under MMP shows Labour and National locked in a tight contest for the largest party vote share, with both major parties hovering near 29–34 percent while smaller parties including the Greens, NZ First, ACT and Opportunity fragment the remainder. This closeness underpins trader consensus on second place, as either major party is positioned to finish ahead or behind depending on final turnout and minor-party thresholds. National’s slight edge in implied probability for second reflects its incumbency advantages, coalition record, and resilience in several mid-August surveys despite Labour leads in others. Late-campaign events such as leadership confidence votes, economic data and Opportunity Party momentum could still shift the ordering before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
60%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
57%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
56%
Labour
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong