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icon for xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Teknolohiya·AI

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

icon for xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Teknolohiya·AI

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$20,870 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$20,870 Vol.

Polymarket

25%+

$5,197 Vol.

57%

30%+

$12,605 Vol.

48%

40%+

$2,898 Vol.

36%

50%+

$170 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's latest Grok 4 models score 12-14% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of exceptionally challenging, original math problems—including unsolved research questions—trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6%. A May 11 update flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tier 1-4 problems via AI-assisted review, with human-vetted scores forthcoming that could recalibrate standings. xAI's rapid iteration, exemplified by efficient Grok 4.3 topping instruction-following and vibe-coding benchmarks, alongside training of 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 on Colossus superclusters, drives optimism for math capability leaps. Traders monitor announcements, independent evals, or releases before June 30 amid intensifying frontier AI competition from Anthropic and Google.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,870
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's latest Grok 4 models score 12-14% on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark of exceptionally challenging, original math problems—including unsolved research questions—trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 at 47.6%. A May 11 update flagged fatal errors in roughly one-third of Tier 1-4 problems via AI-assisted review, with human-vetted scores forthcoming that could recalibrate standings. xAI's rapid iteration, exemplified by efficient Grok 4.3 topping instruction-following and vibe-coding benchmarks, alongside training of 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 on Colossus superclusters, drives optimism for math capability leaps. Traders monitor announcements, independent evals, or releases before June 30 amid intensifying frontier AI competition from Anthropic and Google.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,870
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "25%+" sa 57%, sinusundan ng "30%+" sa 48%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 57¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?" ay naka-generate ng $20.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 30, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?" ay "25%+" sa 57%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "30%+" sa 48%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.