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icon for Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?

icon for Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?

38% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
38% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Recent Supreme Court rulings rejecting amnesty for Puigdemont’s embezzlement charges and upholding his arrest warrant have anchored trader consensus around a 62.5% “No” probability for any return to Spain before year-end. Despite the EU court’s July endorsement of the broader amnesty law, Spanish judges have preserved the national detention order, leaving Puigdemont in exile in France with no safe path to Spanish soil. Pending Constitutional Court review of his appeal offers the main near-term catalyst, yet historical patterns and the tight timeline to December 31 limit upside for a breakthrough. Traders view the combination of intact legal barriers and absent political momentum as the dominant factor sustaining the lead for “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Обсяг
$6,419
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 12:50 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Recent Supreme Court rulings rejecting amnesty for Puigdemont’s embezzlement charges and upholding his arrest warrant have anchored trader consensus around a 62.5% “No” probability for any return to Spain before year-end. Despite the EU court’s July endorsement of the broader amnesty law, Spanish judges have preserved the national detention order, leaving Puigdemont in exile in France with no safe path to Spanish soil. Pending Constitutional Court review of his appeal offers the main near-term catalyst, yet historical patterns and the tight timeline to December 31 limit upside for a breakthrough. Traders view the combination of intact legal barriers and absent political momentum as the dominant factor sustaining the lead for “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Обсяг
$6,419
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 26, 2026, 12:50 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 38% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 38¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 38%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 26, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?» — 38% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 38% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.