Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 40-64 tweet range for August 22-24. Traders track his typical daily output across AI developments, SpaceX updates, Tesla commentary, and quick replies or memes, which historically cluster in this band during ordinary periods without major disruptions. Recent activity, including discussions around Grok agents, NVIDIA partnerships, and SpaceX hardware, aligns with that cadence rather than signaling a spike or slowdown. An upset into higher brackets would require sustained external pressure like a breaking global event or platform outage, while lower counts could follow only if Musk steps back for travel, focused work sessions, or deliberate quiet periods—scenarios viewed as low-probability given his consistent engagement style.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$874,591 Обс.
$874,591 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$874,591 Обс.
$874,591 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
<40
$190,279 Обс.
No
40-64
$125,544 Обс.
Yes
65-89
$232,573 Обс.
No
90-114
$138,859 Обс.
No
115-139
$93,229 Обс.
No
140-164
$35,070 Обс.
No
165-189
$31,020 Обс.
No
190-214
$15,520 Обс.
No
215-239
$8,044 Обс.
No
240+
$4,452 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 40-64 tweet range for August 22-24. Traders track his typical daily output across AI developments, SpaceX updates, Tesla commentary, and quick replies or memes, which historically cluster in this band during ordinary periods without major disruptions. Recent activity, including discussions around Grok agents, NVIDIA partnerships, and SpaceX hardware, aligns with that cadence rather than signaling a spike or slowdown. An upset into higher brackets would require sustained external pressure like a breaking global event or platform outage, while lower counts could follow only if Musk steps back for travel, focused work sessions, or deliberate quiet periods—scenarios viewed as low-probability given his consistent engagement style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$874,591Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 40-64 tweet range for August 22-24. Traders track his typical daily output across AI developments, SpaceX updates, Tesla commentary, and quick replies or memes, which historically cluster in this band during ordinary periods without major disruptions. Recent activity, including discussions around Grok agents, NVIDIA partnerships, and SpaceX hardware, aligns with that cadence rather than signaling a spike or slowdown. An upset into higher brackets would require sustained external pressure like a breaking global event or platform outage, while lower counts could follow only if Musk steps back for travel, focused work sessions, or deliberate quiet periods—scenarios viewed as low-probability given his consistent engagement style.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$874,591Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Elon Musk's established pattern of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 40-64 tweet range for August 22-24. Traders track his typical daily output across AI developments, SpaceX updates, Tesla commentary, and quick replies or memes, which historically cluster in this band during ordinary periods without major disruptions. Recent activity, including discussions around Grok agents, NVIDIA partnerships, and SpaceX hardware, aligns with that cadence rather than signaling a spike or slowdown. An upset into higher brackets would require sustained external pressure like a breaking global event or platform outage, while lower counts could follow only if Musk steps back for travel, focused work sessions, or deliberate quiet periods—scenarios viewed as low-probability given his consistent engagement style.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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