Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often exceeding 10–20 updates daily amid commentary on tech, politics, and memes, anchors trader sentiment for the August 3–5 window. With no major product launches, regulatory headlines, or personal announcements surfacing in recent days to accelerate or mute activity, the market prices 40–64 tweets as the consensus range at 47.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 at 34.2%. Historical volume in comparable three-day buckets and the absence of weekend spikes or viral controversies reinforce this mid-range clustering, while thinner tails beyond 65 reflect limited expected escalation before the period closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоElon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
40-64 45%
<40 35.0%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.4%
$152,234 Обс.
$152,234 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
<40
35%
40-64
45%
65-89
18%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 45%
<40 35.0%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.4%
$152,234 Обс.
$152,234 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
<40
$29,354 Обс.
35%
40-64
$23,552 Обс.
45%
65-89
$19,575 Обс.
18%
90-114
$17,945 Обс.
2%
115-139
$22,632 Обс.
<1%
140-164
$14,818 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$8,185 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$6,641 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$5,865 Обс.
<1%
240+
$3,668 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often exceeding 10–20 updates daily amid commentary on tech, politics, and memes, anchors trader sentiment for the August 3–5 window. With no major product launches, regulatory headlines, or personal announcements surfacing in recent days to accelerate or mute activity, the market prices 40–64 tweets as the consensus range at 47.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 at 34.2%. Historical volume in comparable three-day buckets and the absence of weekend spikes or viral controversies reinforce this mid-range clustering, while thinner tails beyond 65 reflect limited expected escalation before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$152,234Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often exceeding 10–20 updates daily amid commentary on tech, politics, and memes, anchors trader sentiment for the August 3–5 window. With no major product launches, regulatory headlines, or personal announcements surfacing in recent days to accelerate or mute activity, the market prices 40–64 tweets as the consensus range at 47.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 at 34.2%. Historical volume in comparable three-day buckets and the absence of weekend spikes or viral controversies reinforce this mid-range clustering, while thinner tails beyond 65 reflect limited expected escalation before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$152,234Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often exceeding 10–20 updates daily amid commentary on tech, politics, and memes, anchors trader sentiment for the August 3–5 window. With no major product launches, regulatory headlines, or personal announcements surfacing in recent days to accelerate or mute activity, the market prices 40–64 tweets as the consensus range at 47.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 at 34.2%. Historical volume in comparable three-day buckets and the absence of weekend spikes or viral controversies reinforce this mid-range clustering, while thinner tails beyond 65 reflect limited expected escalation before the period closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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