Recent surges in Elon Musk’s X activity around Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout and Starship Flight 12 preparations have anchored trader expectations for 40-64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, now carrying a 61.5% implied probability. Secondary positioning at 65-89 (35.5%) reflects the possibility of extended commentary on AI timelines, vehicle updates, and cultural debates, patterns consistent with his output during major product cycles. No fresh announcements have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter momentum, leaving the current range as the clearest reflection of his established posting cadence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 37%
65-89 37%
90-114 14.0%
115-139 10.1%
$949,849 Обс.
$949,849 Обс.
May 18, 2026
<40
8%
40-64
37%
65-89
37%
90-114
14%
115-139
10%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 37%
65-89 37%
90-114 14.0%
115-139 10.1%
$949,849 Обс.
$949,849 Обс.
May 18, 2026
<40
$345,673 Обс.
8%
40-64
$99,454 Обс.
37%
65-89
$100,272 Обс.
37%
90-114
$119,226 Обс.
14%
115-139
$103,731 Обс.
10%
140-164
$63,192 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Обс.
<1%
240+
$19,735 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent surges in Elon Musk’s X activity around Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout and Starship Flight 12 preparations have anchored trader expectations for 40-64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, now carrying a 61.5% implied probability. Secondary positioning at 65-89 (35.5%) reflects the possibility of extended commentary on AI timelines, vehicle updates, and cultural debates, patterns consistent with his output during major product cycles. No fresh announcements have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter momentum, leaving the current range as the clearest reflection of his established posting cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$949,849Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent surges in Elon Musk’s X activity around Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout and Starship Flight 12 preparations have anchored trader expectations for 40-64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, now carrying a 61.5% implied probability. Secondary positioning at 65-89 (35.5%) reflects the possibility of extended commentary on AI timelines, vehicle updates, and cultural debates, patterns consistent with his output during major product cycles. No fresh announcements have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter momentum, leaving the current range as the clearest reflection of his established posting cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$949,849Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent surges in Elon Musk’s X activity around Tesla’s FSD v14.3.3 rollout and Starship Flight 12 preparations have anchored trader expectations for 40-64 tweets over the May 16-18 window, now carrying a 61.5% implied probability. Secondary positioning at 65-89 (35.5%) reflects the possibility of extended commentary on AI timelines, vehicle updates, and cultural debates, patterns consistent with his output during major product cycles. No fresh announcements have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter momentum, leaving the current range as the clearest reflection of his established posting cadence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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