Traders see Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm on X as the main driver behind the heavy weighting toward 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, with the 65-89 band still carrying meaningful weight. His recent activity, including multiple updates on Grok model improvements, SpaceX docking milestones, and quick reactions to viral clips, aligns with his established pattern of 15-20 posts on an average day when no major product launch or controversy dominates the feed. Historical data from similar three-day stretches shows this range as the most frequent outcome absent extraordinary events, while the slim odds on 90-plus reflect the low likelihood of a sudden surge from breaking news. With the period still unfolding, any high-profile announcement on May 18 could shift momentum, but current momentum points to steady rather than explosive volume.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 62%
65-89 35%
90-114 3.3%
115-139 <1%
$562,627 Обс.
$562,627 Обс.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
62%
65-89
35%
90-114
3%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 62%
65-89 35%
90-114 3.3%
115-139 <1%
$562,627 Обс.
$562,627 Обс.
May 18, 2026
<40
$145,628 Обс.
<1%
40-64
$48,481 Обс.
62%
65-89
$55,285 Обс.
35%
90-114
$76,001 Обс.
3%
115-139
$58,172 Обс.
<1%
140-164
$58,592 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$36,291 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$14,853 Обс.
<1%
240+
$16,696 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm on X as the main driver behind the heavy weighting toward 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, with the 65-89 band still carrying meaningful weight. His recent activity, including multiple updates on Grok model improvements, SpaceX docking milestones, and quick reactions to viral clips, aligns with his established pattern of 15-20 posts on an average day when no major product launch or controversy dominates the feed. Historical data from similar three-day stretches shows this range as the most frequent outcome absent extraordinary events, while the slim odds on 90-plus reflect the low likelihood of a sudden surge from breaking news. With the period still unfolding, any high-profile announcement on May 18 could shift momentum, but current momentum points to steady rather than explosive volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$562,627Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm on X as the main driver behind the heavy weighting toward 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, with the 65-89 band still carrying meaningful weight. His recent activity, including multiple updates on Grok model improvements, SpaceX docking milestones, and quick reactions to viral clips, aligns with his established pattern of 15-20 posts on an average day when no major product launch or controversy dominates the feed. Historical data from similar three-day stretches shows this range as the most frequent outcome absent extraordinary events, while the slim odds on 90-plus reflect the low likelihood of a sudden surge from breaking news. With the period still unfolding, any high-profile announcement on May 18 could shift momentum, but current momentum points to steady rather than explosive volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$562,627Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk's typical posting rhythm on X as the main driver behind the heavy weighting toward 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, with the 65-89 band still carrying meaningful weight. His recent activity, including multiple updates on Grok model improvements, SpaceX docking milestones, and quick reactions to viral clips, aligns with his established pattern of 15-20 posts on an average day when no major product launch or controversy dominates the feed. Historical data from similar three-day stretches shows this range as the most frequent outcome absent extraordinary events, while the slim odds on 90-plus reflect the low likelihood of a sudden surge from breaking news. With the period still unfolding, any high-profile announcement on May 18 could shift momentum, but current momentum points to steady rather than explosive volume.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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