Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 18-20 because his recent cadence has settled into a steady 13-21 posts per day. This baseline aligns with historical patterns during low-event weekends, where quick replies to viral threads, xAI model updates, and occasional Tesla commentary dominate rather than high-volume campaigns. With no major product launches, regulatory hearings, or cultural flashpoints on the immediate horizon, the market consensus reflects expectations of routine engagement rather than a surge. The next tier at 65-89 captures any modest uptick from breaking news, while lower outcomes would require an unusually quiet stretch.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 50%
65-89 28%
<40 14%
90-114 7%
НОВЕ
$29,838 Обс.
НОВЕ
$29,838 Обс.
May 20, 2026
<40
14%
40-64
50%
65-89
28%
90-114
7%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 28%
<40 14%
90-114 7%
НОВЕ
$29,838 Обс.
НОВЕ
$29,838 Обс.
May 20, 2026
<40
$834 Обс.
14%
40-64
$2,185 Обс.
50%
65-89
$1,585 Обс.
28%
90-114
$4,446 Обс.
7%
115-139
$2,428 Обс.
3%
140-164
$2,222 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$1,846 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$3,185 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$5,835 Обс.
<1%
240+
$5,272 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 18-20 because his recent cadence has settled into a steady 13-21 posts per day. This baseline aligns with historical patterns during low-event weekends, where quick replies to viral threads, xAI model updates, and occasional Tesla commentary dominate rather than high-volume campaigns. With no major product launches, regulatory hearings, or cultural flashpoints on the immediate horizon, the market consensus reflects expectations of routine engagement rather than a surge. The next tier at 65-89 captures any modest uptick from breaking news, while lower outcomes would require an unusually quiet stretch.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$29,838Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 18-20 because his recent cadence has settled into a steady 13-21 posts per day. This baseline aligns with historical patterns during low-event weekends, where quick replies to viral threads, xAI model updates, and occasional Tesla commentary dominate rather than high-volume campaigns. With no major product launches, regulatory hearings, or cultural flashpoints on the immediate horizon, the market consensus reflects expectations of routine engagement rather than a surge. The next tier at 65-89 captures any modest uptick from breaking news, while lower outcomes would require an unusually quiet stretch.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$29,838Дата завершення
May 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 18-20 because his recent cadence has settled into a steady 13-21 posts per day. This baseline aligns with historical patterns during low-event weekends, where quick replies to viral threads, xAI model updates, and occasional Tesla commentary dominate rather than high-volume campaigns. With no major product launches, regulatory hearings, or cultural flashpoints on the immediate horizon, the market consensus reflects expectations of routine engagement rather than a surge. The next tier at 65-89 captures any modest uptick from breaking news, while lower outcomes would require an unusually quiet stretch.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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