The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Persistent inflation pressures, with the April CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year amid elevated energy costs from Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and modest payroll gains, have reinforced the central bank's data-dependent stance and hawkish dissents. CME FedWatch futures similarly embed near-zero odds of near-term easing, reflecting trader consensus that no acute financial shock or sharp downturn currently justifies unscheduled action outside regular meetings. Potential catalysts include the June FOMC decision and upcoming inflation or employment releases, though a sudden labor market deterioration could still alter the path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$105,161 Обс.
$105,161 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,161 Обс.
$105,161 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Persistent inflation pressures, with the April CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year amid elevated energy costs from Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and modest payroll gains, have reinforced the central bank's data-dependent stance and hawkish dissents. CME FedWatch futures similarly embed near-zero odds of near-term easing, reflecting trader consensus that no acute financial shock or sharp downturn currently justifies unscheduled action outside regular meetings. Potential catalysts include the June FOMC decision and upcoming inflation or employment releases, though a sudden labor market deterioration could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$105,161Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Persistent inflation pressures, with the April CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year amid elevated energy costs from Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and modest payroll gains, have reinforced the central bank's data-dependent stance and hawkish dissents. CME FedWatch futures similarly embed near-zero odds of near-term easing, reflecting trader consensus that no acute financial shock or sharp downturn currently justifies unscheduled action outside regular meetings. Potential catalysts include the June FOMC decision and upcoming inflation or employment releases, though a sudden labor market deterioration could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Обсяг
$105,161Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting underpins the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Persistent inflation pressures, with the April CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year amid elevated energy costs from Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and modest payroll gains, have reinforced the central bank's data-dependent stance and hawkish dissents. CME FedWatch futures similarly embed near-zero odds of near-term easing, reflecting trader consensus that no acute financial shock or sharp downturn currently justifies unscheduled action outside regular meetings. Potential catalysts include the June FOMC decision and upcoming inflation or employment releases, though a sudden labor market deterioration could still alter the path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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