Florida's Republican registration edge and the state's recent voting patterns underpin Ashley Moody's strong position as the appointed incumbent seeking a full term in this special election for the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured the GOP nomination with little opposition, while Democrat Angie Nixon advanced via an upset primary victory. Aggregated polling shows Moody ahead by roughly four to six points among likely voters, though some recent surveys indicate a tighter contest. Prediction market pricing reflects traders' assessment of structural advantages for the Republican nominee, including historical statewide results and limited Democratic success in Florida since 2018. Late-cycle shifts in turnout among key demographics, national midterm dynamics, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap before the November vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$125,860 Обс.
$125,860 Обс.
Ashley Moody (R)
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
9%
$125,860 Обс.
$125,860 Обс.
Ashley Moody (R)
$65,052 Обс.
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
$60,808 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican registration edge and the state's recent voting patterns underpin Ashley Moody's strong position as the appointed incumbent seeking a full term in this special election for the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured the GOP nomination with little opposition, while Democrat Angie Nixon advanced via an upset primary victory. Aggregated polling shows Moody ahead by roughly four to six points among likely voters, though some recent surveys indicate a tighter contest. Prediction market pricing reflects traders' assessment of structural advantages for the Republican nominee, including historical statewide results and limited Democratic success in Florida since 2018. Late-cycle shifts in turnout among key demographics, national midterm dynamics, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$125,860Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican registration edge and the state's recent voting patterns underpin Ashley Moody's strong position as the appointed incumbent seeking a full term in this special election for the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured the GOP nomination with little opposition, while Democrat Angie Nixon advanced via an upset primary victory. Aggregated polling shows Moody ahead by roughly four to six points among likely voters, though some recent surveys indicate a tighter contest. Prediction market pricing reflects traders' assessment of structural advantages for the Republican nominee, including historical statewide results and limited Democratic success in Florida since 2018. Late-cycle shifts in turnout among key demographics, national midterm dynamics, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$125,860Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican registration edge and the state's recent voting patterns underpin Ashley Moody's strong position as the appointed incumbent seeking a full term in this special election for the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured the GOP nomination with little opposition, while Democrat Angie Nixon advanced via an upset primary victory. Aggregated polling shows Moody ahead by roughly four to six points among likely voters, though some recent surveys indicate a tighter contest. Prediction market pricing reflects traders' assessment of structural advantages for the Republican nominee, including historical statewide results and limited Democratic success in Florida since 2018. Late-cycle shifts in turnout among key demographics, national midterm dynamics, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap before the November vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання