Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads multiple Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores near 59-65% under varied reasoning configurations, ahead of Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra. This reflects rapid gains in chain-of-thought scaffolding, adaptive reasoning, and model scale since the benchmark’s 2025 launch, when frontier systems scored in the single digits. Anthropic’s consistent top placements stem from targeted improvements in expert-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across the 2,500-question set spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Competitive pressure from Google Gemini variants, Meta’s Muse Spark, and OpenAI’s iterative GPT releases continues to narrow gaps, while the benchmark’s deliberate difficulty and periodic HLE-Rolling updates keep the frontier dynamic through late 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$72,512 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
60%+
42%
65%+
29%
70%+
14%
75%+
13%
80%+
7%
90%+
5%
$72,512 Обс.
60%+
$41,544 Обс.
42%
65%+
$16,633 Обс.
29%
70%+
$6,485 Обс.
14%
75%+
$3,674 Обс.
13%
80%+
$1,710 Обс.
7%
90%+
$2,465 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads multiple Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores near 59-65% under varied reasoning configurations, ahead of Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra. This reflects rapid gains in chain-of-thought scaffolding, adaptive reasoning, and model scale since the benchmark’s 2025 launch, when frontier systems scored in the single digits. Anthropic’s consistent top placements stem from targeted improvements in expert-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across the 2,500-question set spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Competitive pressure from Google Gemini variants, Meta’s Muse Spark, and OpenAI’s iterative GPT releases continues to narrow gaps, while the benchmark’s deliberate difficulty and periodic HLE-Rolling updates keep the frontier dynamic through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$72,512Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://agi.safe.ai/Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads multiple Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores near 59-65% under varied reasoning configurations, ahead of Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra. This reflects rapid gains in chain-of-thought scaffolding, adaptive reasoning, and model scale since the benchmark’s 2025 launch, when frontier systems scored in the single digits. Anthropic’s consistent top placements stem from targeted improvements in expert-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across the 2,500-question set spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Competitive pressure from Google Gemini variants, Meta’s Muse Spark, and OpenAI’s iterative GPT releases continues to narrow gaps, while the benchmark’s deliberate difficulty and periodic HLE-Rolling updates keep the frontier dynamic through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$72,512Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://agi.safe.ai/Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 currently leads multiple Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores near 59-65% under varied reasoning configurations, ahead of Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra. This reflects rapid gains in chain-of-thought scaffolding, adaptive reasoning, and model scale since the benchmark’s 2025 launch, when frontier systems scored in the single digits. Anthropic’s consistent top placements stem from targeted improvements in expert-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across the 2,500-question set spanning math, sciences, and humanities. Competitive pressure from Google Gemini variants, Meta’s Muse Spark, and OpenAI’s iterative GPT releases continues to narrow gaps, while the benchmark’s deliberate difficulty and periodic HLE-Rolling updates keep the frontier dynamic through late 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
77%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
18%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
93%
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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