Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS project a peak daytime temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of central Anatolia in midsummer. These guidance runs show limited diurnal variation with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with climatological norms where early-August maxima average near 30–32°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C while allowing modest probability for 31°C or 33°C if steering patterns shift slightly. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 9?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 9?
32°C 53%
31°C 23%
33°C 21%
30°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
23%
32°C
53%
33°C
21%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 23%
33°C 21%
30°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$179 Обс.
1%
29°C
$57 Обс.
2%
30°C
$19 Обс.
5%
31°C
$288 Обс.
23%
32°C
$59 Обс.
53%
33°C
$61 Обс.
21%
34°C
$21 Обс.
4%
35°C
$10 Обс.
1%
36°C
$34 Обс.
1%
37°C
$77 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$131 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS project a peak daytime temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of central Anatolia in midsummer. These guidance runs show limited diurnal variation with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with climatological norms where early-August maxima average near 30–32°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C while allowing modest probability for 31°C or 33°C if steering patterns shift slightly. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$937Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS project a peak daytime temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of central Anatolia in midsummer. These guidance runs show limited diurnal variation with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with climatological norms where early-August maxima average near 30–32°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C while allowing modest probability for 31°C or 33°C if steering patterns shift slightly. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$937Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS project a peak daytime temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of central Anatolia in midsummer. These guidance runs show limited diurnal variation with light winds and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with climatological norms where early-August maxima average near 30–32°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C while allowing modest probability for 31°C or 33°C if steering patterns shift slightly. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the final observational inputs ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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