Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on July 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 12?
31°C 36%
32°C 28%
33°C 18.1%
30°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
28%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 28%
33°C 18.1%
30°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
27°C or below
$173 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$16 Обс.
4%
29°C
$8 Обс.
8%
30°C
$14 Обс.
18%
31°C
$129 Обс.
36%
32°C
$45 Обс.
28%
33°C
$29 Обс.
18%
34°C
$7 Обс.
5%
35°C
$149 Обс.
1%
36°C
$23 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$245 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$751Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$751Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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