**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 6 high temperature centers on typical midsummer heat modulated by a stable, hot, and dry pattern across central Texas.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus point to a high in the mid-to-upper 90s (roughly 94–98 °F), aligning with the closely bunched leading market outcomes around 94–99 °F. Average July highs near 95–96 °F, combined with south-southeast winds of 10–15 mph and minimal cloud cover or rain chances through at least July 7, support this range while limiting upside to triple digits. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak afternoon sea-breeze or convective inhibition that could trim the peak by a degree or two versus stronger subsidence allowing a push toward 98–99 °F. Heat-index values are expected to exceed 100 °F due to humidity, but the market resolves strictly on observed air temperature at official stations. With the event less than 24 hours away, the latest NWS forecast updates and any overnight model runs will be the primary drivers of further odds movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on July 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 6?
94-95°F 38%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 10%
НОВЕ
$21,965 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,965 Обс.
Jul 6, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
2%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 38%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 10%
НОВЕ
$21,965 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,965 Обс.
Jul 6, 2026
83°F or below
$665 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$639 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$440 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,656 Обс.
4%
90-91°F
$3,095 Обс.
5%
92-93°F
$2,534 Обс.
12%
94-95°F
$2,289 Обс.
38%
96-97°F
$3,386 Обс.
34%
98-99°F
$2,711 Обс.
10%
100-101°F
$1,735 Обс.
2%
102°F or higher
$815 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 6 high temperature centers on typical midsummer heat modulated by a stable, hot, and dry pattern across central Texas.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus point to a high in the mid-to-upper 90s (roughly 94–98 °F), aligning with the closely bunched leading market outcomes around 94–99 °F. Average July highs near 95–96 °F, combined with south-southeast winds of 10–15 mph and minimal cloud cover or rain chances through at least July 7, support this range while limiting upside to triple digits.
Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak afternoon sea-breeze or convective inhibition that could trim the peak by a degree or two versus stronger subsidence allowing a push toward 98–99 °F. Heat-index values are expected to exceed 100 °F due to humidity, but the market resolves strictly on observed air temperature at official stations. With the event less than 24 hours away, the latest NWS forecast updates and any overnight model runs will be the primary drivers of further odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,965Дата завершення
Jul 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 6 high temperature centers on typical midsummer heat modulated by a stable, hot, and dry pattern across central Texas.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus point to a high in the mid-to-upper 90s (roughly 94–98 °F), aligning with the closely bunched leading market outcomes around 94–99 °F. Average July highs near 95–96 °F, combined with south-southeast winds of 10–15 mph and minimal cloud cover or rain chances through at least July 7, support this range while limiting upside to triple digits.
Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak afternoon sea-breeze or convective inhibition that could trim the peak by a degree or two versus stronger subsidence allowing a push toward 98–99 °F. Heat-index values are expected to exceed 100 °F due to humidity, but the market resolves strictly on observed air temperature at official stations. With the event less than 24 hours away, the latest NWS forecast updates and any overnight model runs will be the primary drivers of further odds movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,965Дата завершення
Jul 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 6 high temperature centers on typical midsummer heat modulated by a stable, hot, and dry pattern across central Texas.** Official National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus point to a high in the mid-to-upper 90s (roughly 94–98 °F), aligning with the closely bunched leading market outcomes around 94–99 °F. Average July highs near 95–96 °F, combined with south-southeast winds of 10–15 mph and minimal cloud cover or rain chances through at least July 7, support this range while limiting upside to triple digits. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak afternoon sea-breeze or convective inhibition that could trim the peak by a degree or two versus stronger subsidence allowing a push toward 98–99 °F. Heat-index values are expected to exceed 100 °F due to humidity, but the market resolves strictly on observed air temperature at official stations. With the event less than 24 hours away, the latest NWS forecast updates and any overnight model runs will be the primary drivers of further odds movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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