Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on July 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 23?
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 17%
74-75°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 23, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 17%
74-75°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 23, 2026
67°F or below
$2,471 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$505 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$294 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$428 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$1,064 Обс.
10%
76-77°F
$1,545 Обс.
35%
78-79°F
$524 Обс.
40%
80-81°F
$599 Обс.
17%
82-83°F
$394 Обс.
3%
84-85°F
$288 Обс.
1%
86°F or higher
$342 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,444Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,444Дата завершення
Jul 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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