Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show the July 25 high temperature in Chicago centered near 81–83 °F, reflecting modest upper-level ridging offset by potential lake-breeze cooling from Lake Michigan. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins because short-range model spread remains narrow, with differences driven mainly by forecast timing of any onshore flow and afternoon cloud cover. Historical July normals of 84 °F provide context, yet current cooler boundary-layer conditions and typical diurnal lake-effect moderation keep probabilities away from the higher bins. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on July 25?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 25?
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 25%
79°F or below 23%
84-85°F 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 25, 2026
79°F or below
23%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 25%
79°F or below 23%
84-85°F 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 25, 2026
79°F or below
$708 Обс.
23%
80-81°F
$1,645 Обс.
32%
82-83°F
$562 Обс.
25%
84-85°F
$328 Обс.
18%
86-87°F
$260 Обс.
9%
88-89°F
$183 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$234 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$50 Обс.
2%
94-95°F
$268 Обс.
<1%
96-97°F
$378 Обс.
<1%
98°F or higher
$20 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show the July 25 high temperature in Chicago centered near 81–83 °F, reflecting modest upper-level ridging offset by potential lake-breeze cooling from Lake Michigan. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins because short-range model spread remains narrow, with differences driven mainly by forecast timing of any onshore flow and afternoon cloud cover. Historical July normals of 84 °F provide context, yet current cooler boundary-layer conditions and typical diurnal lake-effect moderation keep probabilities away from the higher bins. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,636Дата завершення
Jul 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show the July 25 high temperature in Chicago centered near 81–83 °F, reflecting modest upper-level ridging offset by potential lake-breeze cooling from Lake Michigan. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins because short-range model spread remains narrow, with differences driven mainly by forecast timing of any onshore flow and afternoon cloud cover. Historical July normals of 84 °F provide context, yet current cooler boundary-layer conditions and typical diurnal lake-effect moderation keep probabilities away from the higher bins. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,636Дата завершення
Jul 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show the July 25 high temperature in Chicago centered near 81–83 °F, reflecting modest upper-level ridging offset by potential lake-breeze cooling from Lake Michigan. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the 80–81 °F and 82–83 °F bins because short-range model spread remains narrow, with differences driven mainly by forecast timing of any onshore flow and afternoon cloud cover. Historical July normals of 84 °F provide context, yet current cooler boundary-layer conditions and typical diurnal lake-effect moderation keep probabilities away from the higher bins. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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