National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on July 20?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 20?
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 9.8%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
$21,481 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,481 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
44%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 9.8%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
$21,481 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,481 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
89°F or below
$4,814 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$547 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$498 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$619 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$1,635 Обс.
8%
98-99°F
$2,940 Обс.
35%
100-101°F
$8,492 Обс.
44%
102-103°F
$676 Обс.
10%
104-105°F
$299 Обс.
<1%
106-107°F
$599 Обс.
<1%
108°F or higher
$364 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,481Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,481Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання