Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on July 21?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 21?
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 24%
108-109°F 4.7%
НОВЕ
$20,777 Обс.
НОВЕ
$20,777 Обс.
Jul 21, 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
42%
106-107°F
30%
108-109°F
5%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 24%
108-109°F 4.7%
НОВЕ
$20,777 Обс.
НОВЕ
$20,777 Обс.
Jul 21, 2026
99°F or below
$1,087 Обс.
1%
100-101°F
$1,467 Обс.
4%
102-103°F
$3,907 Обс.
24%
104-105°F
$5,676 Обс.
42%
106-107°F
$4,752 Обс.
30%
108-109°F
$983 Обс.
5%
110-111°F
$711 Обс.
1%
112-113°F
$838 Обс.
<1%
114-115°F
$605 Обс.
<1%
116-117°F
$442 Обс.
<1%
118°F or higher
$307 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,777Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20,777Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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