Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on July 21?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 21?
100-101°F 47%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 5%
НОВЕ
$15,640 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,640 Обс.
Jul 21, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
47%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 47%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 5%
НОВЕ
$15,640 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,640 Обс.
Jul 21, 2026
89°F or below
$759 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,535 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$446 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,326 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$2,500 Обс.
5%
98-99°F
$1,274 Обс.
27%
100-101°F
$2,550 Обс.
47%
102-103°F
$1,050 Обс.
18%
104-105°F
$3,510 Обс.
2%
106-107°F
$377 Обс.
1%
108°F or higher
$334 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,640Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,640Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 9:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and supporting model runs point to sunny conditions and a high near 98°F for Austin on July 21 under strengthening subtropical ridging that favors hot, dry air and strong daytime heating. This setup keeps precipitation chances negligible while supporting temperatures slightly above the long-term July average of roughly 97°F. Market-implied odds cluster around 98–101°F because ensemble spreads and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind could easily add or subtract a degree or two from the official forecast. Traders weigh these narrow but scientifically plausible variations against climatological norms and the absence of any cooling fronts or cloud build-up in the latest short-range guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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