Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,579 Обс.
$56,579 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$56,579 Обс.
$56,579 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$1,392 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,809 Обс.
No
31°C
$7,291 Обс.
No
32°C
$7,435 Обс.
No
33°C
$6,287 Обс.
No
34°C
$5,808 Обс.
No
35°C
$5,427 Обс.
Yes
36°C
$6,129 Обс.
No
37°C
$5,974 Обс.
No
38°C
$4,312 Обс.
No
39°C or higher
$2,716 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$56,579Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$56,579Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon indicate Guangzhou will reach a daily maximum near 35°C on August 15 under typical subtropical summer conditions, featuring high humidity, light winds, and afternoon convection that caps extreme heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 32–34°C, with recent model runs converging on this narrow range absent major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 35°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of rapid changes on resolution day. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include stronger-than-expected thunderstorm development enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, or an unforecasted surge in subtropical ridge strength allowing clearer skies and temperatures exceeding 36°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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