Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Istanbul’s daily maximum on May 21 will likely reach 19–20 °C under overcast skies with light showers and moderate northeasterly winds. These stable springtime conditions, featuring limited solar heating and elevated humidity near 80 percent, are keeping temperatures below the month’s climatological average high of 21–22 °C. Historical analogs for late-May days with similar cloud cover and precipitation show peaks clustering in this narrow range, supporting the market’s concentration on 19 °C and 20 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 21?
20°C 41%
21°C 22%
19°C 19%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 21, 2026
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
41%
21°C
22%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
4%
20°C 41%
21°C 22%
19°C 19%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 21, 2026
18°C
$464 Обс.
7%
19°C
$375 Обс.
19%
20°C
$322 Обс.
41%
21°C
$253 Обс.
22%
22°C
$466 Обс.
8%
23°C or higher
$664 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Istanbul’s daily maximum on May 21 will likely reach 19–20 °C under overcast skies with light showers and moderate northeasterly winds. These stable springtime conditions, featuring limited solar heating and elevated humidity near 80 percent, are keeping temperatures below the month’s climatological average high of 21–22 °C. Historical analogs for late-May days with similar cloud cover and precipitation show peaks clustering in this narrow range, supporting the market’s concentration on 19 °C and 20 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,432Дата завершення
May 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Istanbul’s daily maximum on May 21 will likely reach 19–20 °C under overcast skies with light showers and moderate northeasterly winds. These stable springtime conditions, featuring limited solar heating and elevated humidity near 80 percent, are keeping temperatures below the month’s climatological average high of 21–22 °C. Historical analogs for late-May days with similar cloud cover and precipitation show peaks clustering in this narrow range, supporting the market’s concentration on 19 °C and 20 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$6,432Дата завершення
May 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Istanbul’s daily maximum on May 21 will likely reach 19–20 °C under overcast skies with light showers and moderate northeasterly winds. These stable springtime conditions, featuring limited solar heating and elevated humidity near 80 percent, are keeping temperatures below the month’s climatological average high of 21–22 °C. Historical analogs for late-May days with similar cloud cover and precipitation show peaks clustering in this narrow range, supporting the market’s concentration on 19 °C and 20 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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