Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on July 12?
Highest temperature in London on July 12?
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
27°C 19%
30°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
19%
28°C
33%
29°C
32%
30°C
16%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
27°C 19%
30°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
6%
26°C
$103 Обс.
11%
27°C
$6 Обс.
19%
28°C
$6 Обс.
33%
29°C
$5 Обс.
32%
30°C
$22 Обс.
16%
31°C
$101 Обс.
7%
32°C
$20 Обс.
4%
33°C
$27 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$289Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$289Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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