Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C daily maximum in Madrid on August 22 due to real-time observational data and short-range model guidance from AEMET and global ensembles converging on that exact threshold. A stable subtropical high-pressure ridge has promoted subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly flow, enabling typical late-summer solar heating with minimal cloud attenuation or moisture. Hourly reports show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon to peak near 33°C, aligning with climatological norms for the date under these synoptic conditions. The only realistic challengers would be an unanticipated surge in convective cloud cover or a sharper veer to cooler northerly winds that could suppress the high by 1–2°C, though current model consensus assigns very low probability to such deviations before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$58,540 Обс.
$58,540 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$58,540 Обс.
$58,540 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$1,755 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,895 Обс.
No
31°C
$6,708 Обс.
No
32°C
$12,106 Обс.
No
33°C
$10,891 Обс.
Yes
34°C
$10,957 Обс.
No
35°C
$6,156 Обс.
No
36°C
$3,599 Обс.
No
37°C
$1,373 Обс.
No
38°C
$380 Обс.
No
39°C or higher
$721 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C daily maximum in Madrid on August 22 due to real-time observational data and short-range model guidance from AEMET and global ensembles converging on that exact threshold. A stable subtropical high-pressure ridge has promoted subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly flow, enabling typical late-summer solar heating with minimal cloud attenuation or moisture. Hourly reports show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon to peak near 33°C, aligning with climatological norms for the date under these synoptic conditions. The only realistic challengers would be an unanticipated surge in convective cloud cover or a sharper veer to cooler northerly winds that could suppress the high by 1–2°C, though current model consensus assigns very low probability to such deviations before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$58,540Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C daily maximum in Madrid on August 22 due to real-time observational data and short-range model guidance from AEMET and global ensembles converging on that exact threshold. A stable subtropical high-pressure ridge has promoted subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly flow, enabling typical late-summer solar heating with minimal cloud attenuation or moisture. Hourly reports show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon to peak near 33°C, aligning with climatological norms for the date under these synoptic conditions. The only realistic challengers would be an unanticipated surge in convective cloud cover or a sharper veer to cooler northerly winds that could suppress the high by 1–2°C, though current model consensus assigns very low probability to such deviations before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$58,540Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C daily maximum in Madrid on August 22 due to real-time observational data and short-range model guidance from AEMET and global ensembles converging on that exact threshold. A stable subtropical high-pressure ridge has promoted subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly flow, enabling typical late-summer solar heating with minimal cloud attenuation or moisture. Hourly reports show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon to peak near 33°C, aligning with climatological norms for the date under these synoptic conditions. The only realistic challengers would be an unanticipated surge in convective cloud cover or a sharper veer to cooler northerly winds that could suppress the high by 1–2°C, though current model consensus assigns very low probability to such deviations before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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