Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 8?
24°C 33%
23°C 29%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
23°C 29%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 8, 2026
18°C or below
$66 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$88 Обс.
1%
20°C
$277 Обс.
1%
21°C
$481 Обс.
3%
22°C
$575 Обс.
13%
23°C
$2,245 Обс.
29%
24°C
$530 Обс.
33%
25°C
$158 Обс.
14%
26°C
$270 Обс.
3%
27°C
$218 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$68 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,976Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,976Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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