Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 12?
30°C 36%
29°C 27%
31°C 14%
32°C 10.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
9%
29°C
27%
30°C
36%
31°C
14%
32°C
10%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 27%
31°C 14%
32°C 10.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 12, 2026
25°C or below
$53 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$49 Обс.
1%
27°C
$306 Обс.
8%
28°C
$47 Обс.
9%
29°C
$89 Обс.
27%
30°C
$60 Обс.
36%
31°C
$0 Обс.
14%
32°C
$494 Обс.
10%
33°C
$27 Обс.
4%
34°C
$43 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$47 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$761Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$761Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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