Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9?
32°C 36%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 9, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 9, 2026
26°C or below
$31 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$27 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$129 Обс.
1%
29°C
$96 Обс.
4%
30°C
$81 Обс.
9%
31°C
$70 Обс.
22%
32°C
$5,052 Обс.
36%
33°C
$3,279 Обс.
18%
34°C
$298 Обс.
8%
35°C
$183 Обс.
4%
36°C or higher
$161 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,350Дата завершення
Jul 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,350Дата завершення
Jul 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on July 9 most likely in the low-to-mid 30s°C range, driven by typical early July subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 75%, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 32°C highs with occasional spikes above 35°C under clear, calm conditions, but the current spread in ensemble predictions—reflecting uncertainty in steering winds and local urban heat effects—underpins the market's broad distribution across 31–34°C outcomes. Traders weigh short-range model runs and satellite observations of incoming moisture, with updates from regional forecasts expected to narrow probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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