Recent forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a peak near 31°C for Tel Aviv on July 26, reflecting typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions with moderate sea-breeze cooling along the coast and minimal cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 31–32°C, and current runs show no sharav winds or heatwave amplification expected by the weekend. The 48.5% market-implied probability on 31°C and clustering around 30–32°C capture this consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local wind shifts that could nudge the reading one degree either way before official resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 26?
31°C 51%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 26, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
20%
31°C
51%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
31°C 51%
32°C 24%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 26, 2026
27°C or below
$40 Обс.
1%
28°C
$23 Обс.
2%
29°C
$12 Обс.
7%
30°C
$2 Обс.
20%
31°C
$28 Обс.
51%
32°C
$15 Обс.
24%
33°C
$2 Обс.
11%
34°C
$2 Обс.
4%
35°C
$12 Обс.
4%
36°C
$20 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$20 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a peak near 31°C for Tel Aviv on July 26, reflecting typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions with moderate sea-breeze cooling along the coast and minimal cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 31–32°C, and current runs show no sharav winds or heatwave amplification expected by the weekend. The 48.5% market-implied probability on 31°C and clustering around 30–32°C capture this consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local wind shifts that could nudge the reading one degree either way before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$177Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a peak near 31°C for Tel Aviv on July 26, reflecting typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions with moderate sea-breeze cooling along the coast and minimal cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 31–32°C, and current runs show no sharav winds or heatwave amplification expected by the weekend. The 48.5% market-implied probability on 31°C and clustering around 30–32°C capture this consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local wind shifts that could nudge the reading one degree either way before official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$177Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a peak near 31°C for Tel Aviv on July 26, reflecting typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions with moderate sea-breeze cooling along the coast and minimal cloud cover. Historical July maxima average 31–32°C, and current runs show no sharav winds or heatwave amplification expected by the weekend. The 48.5% market-implied probability on 31°C and clustering around 30–32°C capture this consensus while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local wind shifts that could nudge the reading one degree either way before official resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання