Latest numerical weather models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service point to a Tel Aviv daily maximum of 29–30 °C on June 11, driven by a typical early-summer ridge of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and a moderate Mediterranean sea breeze that caps coastal heating. Small differences in forecast wind speed, low-level humidity, and the precise timing of peak insolation create the narrow spread between those two outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply outside 28–31 °C because ensemble guidance shows little support for stronger or weaker anomalies. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 11?
30°C 43%
29°C 38%
31°C 11%
28°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
10%
29°C
38%
30°C
43%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 38%
31°C 11%
28°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
10%
29°C
38%
30°C
43%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service point to a Tel Aviv daily maximum of 29–30 °C on June 11, driven by a typical early-summer ridge of high pressure, abundant sunshine, and a moderate Mediterranean sea breeze that caps coastal heating. Small differences in forecast wind speed, low-level humidity, and the precise timing of peak insolation create the narrow spread between those two outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply outside 28–31 °C because ensemble guidance shows little support for stronger or weaker anomalies. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання