Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
26°C 37%
25°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
34%
26°C
37%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$88 Обс.
2%
23°C
$365 Обс.
4%
24°C
$550 Обс.
13%
25°C
$178 Обс.
34%
26°C
$155 Обс.
37%
27°C
$673 Обс.
13%
28°C
$303 Обс.
2%
29°C
$374 Обс.
2%
30°C
$138 Обс.
1%
31°C
$191 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,186Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,186Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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