Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on July 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 2?
36°C 34%
35°C 30%
34°C 12%
37°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 2, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
12%
35°C
30%
36°C
34%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
36°C 34%
35°C 30%
34°C 12%
37°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 2, 2026
31°C or below
$37 Обс.
2%
32°C
$16 Обс.
3%
33°C
$3 Обс.
6%
34°C
$34 Обс.
12%
35°C
$28 Обс.
30%
36°C
$22 Обс.
34%
37°C
$39 Обс.
8%
38°C
$164 Обс.
2%
39°C
$0 Обс.
2%
40°C
$99 Обс.
2%
41°C or higher
$355 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$794Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$794Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s official forecast for July 2 projects a high of 35°C under partly sunny skies with a 30% chance of showers, anchoring trader focus on the closely matched 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Model consensus from regional ensembles highlights modest uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing over the urban heat island, where afternoon temperatures can vary by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Recent guidance shows stable warm-air advection from the southwest with limited moisture, keeping extreme outliers low-probability while elevating the chance that observed readings reach or exceed the 35°C threshold. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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